Indicele DJIA pierde 574 de puncte - 08 martie 2023: Diferență între versiuni

<p>Indicele DJIA a pierdut ieri 574 de puncte (1.7%), dupa ce Jerome Powell, presedintele Rezervei Federale, [https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/07/fed-chair-powell-says-interest-rates-are-likely-to-be-higher-than-previously-anticipated.html a indicat] in fata Congresului SUA ca institutia este pregatita sa majoreze mai puternic si de mai multe ori dobanda cheie in cazul in care cifrele economice continua sa se situeze peste asteptari.</p><p>Indicele S&amp;P 500 a pierdut ieri 1.5%, incheind ziua sub pragul de 4,000 de puncte. Indicele Nasdaq Composite a pierdut ieri 1.2%. Cursul EUR/USD a coborat la circa 1.05, dupa ce [https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/global-markets-view-europe-2023-03-08/#:~:text=The%20euro%20reached%20%241.0538%20%2C%20having%20seen%20its%20biggest%20single%2Dsession%20fall%20in%20five%20months%20overnight. a suferit] ieri cel mai sever declin din ultimele 5 luni.</p><p>La scadenta de 2 ani, dobanda titlurilor de stat americane a depasit ieri pragul de 5% in premiera dupa 2007, [https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/several-parts-us-yield-curve-are-inverted-what-does-it-tell-us-2022-11-01/#:~:text=Yields%20on%20two,the%20Great%20Depression. situandu-se] cu peste 100bps peste dobanda titlurilor de stat cu scadenta la 10 ani pentru prima oara dupa septembrie 1981. In istorie, un asemenea [https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-07/deepest-bond-yield-inversion-since-volcker-suggests-hard-landing ecart] favorabil dobanzilor titlurilor de stat la scadente scurte a semnalizat un risc tot mai mare de recesiune. In septembrie 1981, economia SUA era deja intr-o recesiune care avea sa dureze pana in noiembrie 1982.</p><p>Dupa discursul de ieri al lui Jerome Powell, investitorii coteaza o probabilitate de 70% ca Rezerva Federala sa majoreze dobanda cheie cu 50bps pe 22 martie (comparativ cu o probabilitate de 30% [https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/powell-pushes-dollar-three-month-high-2023-03-08/#:~:text=Powell%27s%20remarks%20also%20sent%20short%2Dterm%20rate%20expectations%20higher%2C%20with%20traders%20now%20anticipating%20an%20almost%2070%25%20chance%20of%20a%2050%20basis%20point%20U.S.%20rate%20hike%20in%20March%2C%20according%20to%20CME%27s%20FedWatch%20tool%2C%20up%20from%20about%20a%2030%25%20chance%20a%20day%20earlier. cotata] cu o zi inaintea discursului si de numai 9% [https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/global-markets-view-europe-2023-03-08/#:~:text=Fed%20fund%20futures%20took%20Powell%20at%20his%20hawkish%20word%20and%20now%20imply%20a%2070%25%20chance%20the%20Fed%20will%20hike%20by%2050bp%20this%20month%2C%20up%20from%20just%209%25%20a%20month%20ago. cotata] in urma cu o luna). Nivelul la care Rezerva Federala este asteptata sa ia o pauza de la majorarile de dobanda [https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/global-markets-view-europe-2023-03-08/#:~:text=The%20peak%20has%20shifted%20to%205.50%2D5.75%25%2C%20with%20a%20risk%20of%20even%20more. este] 5.75% (comparativ cu nivelul curent de 4.75%).</p><p>(DE.SXR8) (DE.SXRU) (DE.SXRV) (DE.IUSM)</p>